College football’s bowl season kicks off this week as the Liberty Bowl kicks off Wednesday between Kansas and Arkansas.
The game features two teams who got off to a very strong start but got lost in the middle of the season and bounced back to a 6-6 finish. Kansas is playing in his first bowl game since 2009, and Arkansas is playing in his second straight postseason matchup.
Go Bowling: 2022 college football bowl game schedule.
Both the Razorbacks and Jayhawks average over 30 points per game, allowing both sides to put up aggressive attacks, but each also makes sketchy defenses, allowing their opponents over 450 yards each week.
What do the experts think about this matchup? Let’s see how the College Football Power Index’s computer prediction model predicts the game.
Liberty Bowl: Arkansas vs. Kansas Picks, Predictions
Arkansas Forecast: The index favors the Razorbacks, but they have a 58.2% chance of winning the game outright.
Kansas Prediction: According to the latest FPI predictions, the Jayhawks have a 41.8% advantage and can pull off an upset.
Point Spread: Arkansas -3 (-110) | Kansas +3 (-118) according to SI Sportsbook.
total: 68.5 points | Over (-118) | Under (-110)
Moneyline: Arkansas (-150) | Kansas (+115)
Kansas ATS Records: 7-4-1
Arkansas ATS Records: 6-6
Diffusion of consensus picks: Arkansas -3
Kansas Betting Trends: “The Jayhawks started the season 7-1-1 against the spread but failed to cover the final three games. I often finished with a -4 mark.” — Kyle Wood, Sports Illustrated
Arkansas Betting Trends: “The Razorbacks didn’t perform as well as the ATS, but they covered in 4 of their last 6 games. It was.” – Tree
Score prediction: Team rankings estimate Arkansas will beat Kansas with predicted scores of 35.0 to 33.8 (Kansas +3, over 68.5).
How to watch and stream: The game will be set on Wednesday, December 28th at 4:30pm on the main ESPN network and will be streamed live on fuboTV (try it for free).
Football Power Index (FPI) College football ranking and computer predictive model is a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.
Rankings and score predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of the team’s season, using a combination of analysis of historical scores, opponent quality, team schedules, and more.
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